My prayers are with all the families, friends and businesses in all areas!
To a expedient clean-up after the latest. Getting a little more quiet…Hopefully a break! The final update on Beta (collage on .GIF to follow) and other activity: Atlantic Rip-Tides with Hurricane Teddy, Tropical Storm Paulette headed east with no expected landfall, the future….
More technical information as provided by cdema.org – Tropical Weather Systems.
Current tropical activity report directly from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center:
Atlantic Tropical Report:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Beta, located over the Texas coast, on Hurricane Teddy, located a few hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia, and on Tropical Storm Paulette, located a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores.
Elsewhere, showers and thunderstorms extending from the southeastern Bahamas westward through Cuba and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a cold front. This system is forecast to move little for the next day or so, then move back northward on Thursday through Saturday. While development of this system over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week is very unlikely, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Cuba through Wednesday and over the Florida Keys and south Florida on Thursday and Friday. The system has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (10 percent) chance during the next five days. www.hurricanes.gov
…SLOW-MOVING BETA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS COAST…
…THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER…
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out this evening along the upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts.
For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20 inches is expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will continue today. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is likely. Rainfall totals of 13 to 14 inches have been measured across portions of the Houston metropolitan area thus far. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected east into the Lower Mississippi Valley and portions of the Tennessee Valley through the end of the week. Flash and urban flooding is possible, as well as isolated minor river flooding on smaller rivers.
AT 4 p.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Beta was located inland over Texas about 40 miles (65 km) north of Port O’Connor and about 35 miles (55 km) north-northwest of Matagorda. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland over southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana and Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday. Please see the products issued by your National Weather Service Office at www.weather.gov
Data from surface observations and NOAA Doppler weather radars indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast through Friday, and Beta is expected to become a remnant low pressure system by late Wednesday.
This is the last NHC advisory on Beta. Future information on this system, including the rainfall threat, can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 p.m. CDT – www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
…TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND…
…GINORMOUS TEDDY TO BRING DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY…
*** A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove
* Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland
Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Nova Scotia
warning area now. Tropical storm conditions could begin in the
watch areas tonight or early Wednesday.
*** A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia
* North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia
* Magdalen Islands Quebec
* Prince Edward Island
Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the Newfoundland warning area on Wednesday afternoon.
A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.
Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.
At 5 p.m. AST, the center of Hurricane Teddy was located about 245 miles (390 km) south of Halifax, Nova Scotia, and about 510 miles (825 km) south-southwest of Port Aux Basques, Newfoundland. Teddy is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected by early Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday, and then near or over Newfoundland by Wednesday night, and be east of Labrador on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts – a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Teddy is an extremely large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 540 miles (870 km). Buoy 44150, located about 90 n mi north of the center, recently reported a significant wave height of 42 ft (13 m). Although some weakening is likely tonight and Wednesday, Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near and over Nova Scotia.
The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 11 p.m. AST with an intermediate advisory at 8 p.m. AST – www.hurricanes.gov
La Niña is officially declared as the cause of such an active hurricane season this year, with names running out soon. With two unnumbered disturbances, the Atlantic is one under the theoretical maximum saturation of disturbances possible as per Dr. Gnanadesikan, if they all were to turn into hurricanes at the same time. Nonetheless, this is a very active season, considering it started off quietly and with dust plumes in June and July.
Sharing safety measures from my previous 2018 blog post: Tips For Playing it Safe During a Hurricane: Here Comes Florence!
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