My prayers are with all the families, friends and businesses in all areas!

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The probability of a deadly storm moving in on the Gulf is substantial now that Zeta, now hurricane has developed in the Caribbean Sea moving over the Yucatan Peninsula from Punta Allen up to Progreso laterally to Cozumel in Mexico. Hurricanes move at a far higher rate of speed as even a few weeks ago, as the hurricane season moves into the ultra fast-moving sector of the mid-fall season. Epsilon moved at the end east to northeast at a rate of near or over 40 miles per hour. Hurricanes will continue to move faster and faster as the weeks go on due to the faster moving fall season’s jet stream upper altitude winds and the tilt of the axis versus sun angle.

More technical information as provided by cdema.org – Tropical Weather Systems.

Current tropical activity report directly from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center:

โ†“ At 12:20 am โ†“Atlantic Tropical Report: ALL activity as of present date is located in the Caribbean. I will keep an eye on everything else, but we are moving into the dangerous area of Hurricane Deltaย {Zeta}.

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Zeta: Check out for your local listings here: Nationwide Station Listing Using Broadcast Frequencies. Here it comes!! Start preparing for landfall right away!! Start board up detail immediately, and have an escape plan. All residents along the Gulf Coast from Yankeetown – Okaloosa/Walton County Line, FL all the way to Intercoastal City, LA including Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana should have a hurricane plan in action or visit https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness. Please adhere to safety measures and stay out of the way of danger! This storm is capable of major damage, and the category number hurricane is too early to identify right now. So, please take care of your families and get to high ground, away from coastal areas. Prepare early, as traffic can be a downfall of your escape plans. Every minute counts, so start a sleeping schedule so your family can share in a drive to escape plan. Fast moving storms like this tend to have way worse storm surge because the system is moving very fast and the swells have no other alternative but to make landfall very hard! Do NOT think that you can sit out the storm! This is going to have torrential rains, wind, damage, flying debris, and unfortunately a large amount of deaths. Also, make sure that your pets and livestock are not subject to this storm. Make arrangements accordingly. Current posting from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center:

…LANDFALL OF ZETA EXPECTED IN A FEW HOURS WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE…
…HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD ALONG THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…
– A Hurricane Warning is in effectd for Mexico from Punta Allen to Progresoand Cozumel. Hurricane conditions are expected there in a few hours. A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula.
– A Tropical Storm Warning continues in Mexico from south of Tulum to Punta Allen and from west of Dzilam to Progreso. Tropical storm conditions are expected there this evening.
– A Hurricane Watch continues from Morgan City, LA, to the Mississippi / Alabama state line, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans. Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area late Wednesday
– A Tropical Storm Watch continues from the MS/AL state line to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line, FL, and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area late Wednesday.
– A Storm Surge Watch continues from Intracoastal City, LA, to Navarre, FL, including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
– Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL including Lake Borgne…4-6 ft
– Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA including Vermilion
Bay…2-4 ft
– Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL incl. Mobile Bay & Pensacola Bay…2-4 ft
– Lake Pontchartrain…2-4 ft
– Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL incl. Choctawhatchee Bay & Saint Andrew Bay…1-3 ft
At 7 p.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Zeta was located off the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula about 45 miles (70 km) south of Cozumel. Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). On the forecast track, the center
of Zeta will move over the northern Yucatan Peninsula tonight, move over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the watch area on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). Some additional strengthening is possible before Zeta makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening is likely while Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight and early Tuesday. Zeta is forecast to strengthen again when it moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday and be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday.
Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts of 12 inches, are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of Zeta’s track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba.
The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 p.m. CDT – www.hurricanes.gov

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Other Tropical Systems: Epsilon has broken up and become sub-tropical at this point, moving towards northern Europe near the Gulf Stream channel way south of Iceland. Visit https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness.

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La Niรฑa is officially declared as the cause of such the active record-matching hurricane season this year, with names at letter “F” in the Greek alphabet. The Atlantic season has tied the year of 2005 at this point in its very active season, considering it started off so quietly and with dust plumes in June and July. Check out the Wikipedia caption: Atlantic hurricane season

Sharing safety measures from my previous 2018 blog post: Tips For Playing it Safe During a Hurricane: Here Comes Florence!

FIND YOUR LOCAL NOAA.com WEATHER RADIO STATION:n

FIND YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORESCAST:w

STAY SAFE!!!

 

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