My prayers are with all the families, friends and businesses in both regions!
More technical information as provided by cdema.org – Tropical Weather Systems.
Current tropical activity report directly from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center:
↓ At 6:19 am ↓
Sally: Check out for your local listings here: Nationwide Station Listing Using Broadcast Frequencies. Please read the emergency post. Have an escape plan. All residents along the Gulf Coast should have a hurricane plan in action or visit https://www.weather.gov/wrn/hurricane-preparedness. Please adhere to safety measures and stay out of the way of danger! Current posting from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center:
…HISTORIC FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FROM SALLY WITH EXTREME LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST…
*** A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida and Mobile Bay
*** A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* East of the Mouth of the Pearl River to Navarre Florida
*** A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* East of Navarre Florida to Indian Pass Florida
* Mouth of the Pearl River westward to Grand Isle Louisiana,
including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas and metropolitan New Orleans
Hurricane conditions are expected to begin within the hurricane warning area this late afternoon or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of the warning area across the western Florida Panhandle and Alabama, and these conditions will gradually spread westward this morning and continue into Wednesday.Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A tornado or two will be possible this morning in coastal areas of the Florida Panhandle and Alabama. The tornado threat should increase and slowly spread inland the rest of today into Wednesday. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office – www.weather.gov
At 7 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Sally was located about 65 miles (110 km) east-southeast of the mouth of the Miss. River and about 105 miles (170 km) south-southeast of Biloxi, Miss. Sally is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue this morning. A northward turn is expected this afternoon, followed by a slow north-northeastward to northeastward motion tonight and continuing through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Sally will pass near the coast of southeastern Louisiana today, and make landfall in the hurricane warning area tonight or Wednesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts – a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). Although little change in strength is forecast until landfall occurs, Sally is still expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it moves onshore along the north-central Gulf coast.
The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
– Mouth of the Mississippi River to Dauphin Island including Lake Borgne…6-9 ft
– Mobile Bay…6-9 ft
– Dauphin Island to AL/FL Border…4-7 ft
– AL/FL State Line to Okaloosa/Walton County Line including – Pensacola Bay and Choctawhatchee Bay…2-4 ft
– Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas…2-4 ft
– Port Fourchon to Mouth of the Mississippi River…1-3 ft
– Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Chassahowitzka including Saint Andrew Bay…1-3 ft
Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundationvalues may be higher than those shown above.
Sally is expected to be a slow moving system as it approaches land producing 10 to 20 inches of rainfall with isolated amounts of 30 inches along and just inland of the central Gulf Coast from the western Florida Panhandle to far southeastern Mississippi. Historic flooding is possible with extreme life-threatening flash flooding likely through Wednesday. In addition, this rainfall will lead to widespread moderate to major flooding on area rivers.
The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT – www.hurricanes.gov
…TEDDY WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY…
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect
At 11 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Teddy was located about 960 miles (1545 km) east of the Lesser Antilles.
Teddy is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A steady northwest motion at 10 to 15 mph is expected through the end of the week.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center.
Additional strengthening is forecast to occur for the next several days. Teddy will likely become a hurricane later today or tonight and could reach major hurricane strength in a few days.
Large swells generated by Tropical Storm Teddy are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles and the northeastern coast of South America on Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. AST – www.hurricanes.gov
La Niña is officially declared as the cause of such an active hurricane season this year, with names running out soon. Right now, there are four major tropical areas: Tropical Storm Paulette, Tropical Depression Rene, Tropical Storm Sally, and tropical disturbance number twenty. With two unnumbered disturbances, the Atlantic is one under the theoretical maximum saturation of disturbances possible as per Dr. Gnanadesikan, if they all were to turn into hurricanes at the same time. Nonetheless, this is a very active season, considering it started off quietly and with dust plumes in June and July.
Sharing safety measures from my previous 2018 blog post: Tips For Playing it Safe During a Hurricane: Here Comes Florence!
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